Napa Valley Real Estate Report 2017 in Review – 2018 Looking Ahead

2017 saw two foundational trends continue in the Napa real estate housing market. Single family home prices continued their trend upward while inventory in both single family and condominium homes continued their trend downward.

Two changes, one already implemented and one in the making, may have a significant impact on the housing market, in Napa and across the country. First, the tax changes may impact buyer behavior with the reduction in deductibility of mortgage interest and possibly state income taxes and property taxes, with the latter two still up in the air.

Second, the projected three hikes in the federal funds rate by the Federal Reserve are anticipated to result in mortgage rate increases of ½ to ¾ percent by the end of 2018. Additional factors will affect mortgage rates so it’s impossible to predict where they’ll end up and how they’ll get there. No expert expects them to stay as low as they are currently.

Single Family Homes:
2017’s median sales price is up 13.3% from 2016.

There were 7.7% fewer new listings in 2017, and 5.9% fewer sales.

Inventory ended 2017 down 1.5% from 2016, the lowest level in 5 years.

The median percent of list price received was 96% for 2017.

Condo/Townhomes:
2017’s median sales price is down 4.0% from 2016.

There were 15% fewer new listings in 2017, and 1.7% more sales.

Inventory ended 2017 down 22.5% from 2016, the lowest level in 15 years.

The median percent of list price received was 99% for 2017.